MX23RW : Monday, October 10 19:23:27
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Monday, October 10
Jul 2, 2020 at 6pm UK at Tele2 Arena
Hammarby
1 - 0
Varbergs
Ludwigson (33')
Khalili (30'), Sher (44'), Kacaniklic (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Aliev (15'), Modig (45+2'), Ayer (71')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Hammarby and Varbergs BoIS.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 58.46%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 20.78% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.33%) and 1-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 1-2 (5.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.

Result
HammarbyDrawVarbergs BoIS
58.46%20.76%20.78%
Both teams to score 60.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.46%36.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.31%58.69%
Hammarby Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.69%12.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.9%38.1%
Varbergs BoIS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.15%30.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.87%67.13%
Score Analysis
    Hammarby 58.46%
    Varbergs BoIS 20.78%
    Draw 20.76%
HammarbyDrawVarbergs BoIS
2-1 @ 9.8%
2-0 @ 8.33%
1-0 @ 7.96%
3-1 @ 6.84%
3-0 @ 5.82%
3-2 @ 4.02%
4-1 @ 3.58%
4-0 @ 3.05%
4-2 @ 2.11%
5-1 @ 1.5%
5-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 58.46%
1-1 @ 9.36%
2-2 @ 5.76%
0-0 @ 3.8%
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 20.76%
1-2 @ 5.5%
0-1 @ 4.47%
0-2 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 2.26%
1-3 @ 2.16%
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 20.78%

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Swedish Allsvenskan Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1HackenHacken25149254312351
2Djurgardens IFDjurgarden25146546202648
3HammarbyHammarby25137549222746
4KalmarKalmar25135731201144
5AIK FotbollAIK25128540301044
6MalmoMalmo25126733231042
7ElfsborgElfsborg2599745331236
8IFK GoteborgGoteborg25113113430436
9Mjallby AIF2581072526-134
10Varnamo258892938-932
11IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping2578103435-129
12SiriusSirius2576122336-1327
13Varbergs BoISVarbergs2567122242-2025
14Degerfors2557132444-2022
15Helsingborg2545162040-2017
16SundsvallSundsvall2542192463-3914
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