SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 2-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elfsborg | Draw | Malmo |
| 30.69% | 24.59% ( -0) | 44.72% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 57.43% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.68% ( 0.01) | 45.32% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.34% ( 0.01) | 67.66% ( -0.01) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.12% ( 0) | 27.87% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.52% ( 0) | 63.48% ( -0) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.63% ( 0) | 20.37% ( -0) |
