Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 50.39%. A win for Hammarby had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Hammarby win was 0-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.
