Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo win with a probability of 58.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Niger had a probability of 15.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.31%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.66%), while for a Niger win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
0.08) 
-0.04) 
