Knowing that anything less than three points here would spell the end of their AFCON aspirations, we expect Burundi to be fully up for this one, and coupled with the added advantage of playing on home turf, we fancy the hosts to secure a narrow victory at the end of the 90 minutes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Namibia win with a probability of 81.38%. A draw has a probability of 14.1% and a win for Burundi has a probability of 4.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Namibia win is 0-2 with a probability of 18.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (15.83%) and 0-3 (14.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (6.86%), while for a Burundi win it is 1-0 (2.54%).
-0.27) 
0.39) 
