SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 54.56%. A win for Ventforet Kofu had a probability of 23.43% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Ventforet Kofu win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ventforet Kofu | Draw | Melbourne City |
23.43% ( 0.4) | 22% ( 0.07) | 54.56% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 60.01% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.93% ( 0.13) | 39.06% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.61% ( 0.13) | 61.39% ( -0.13) |
| Ventforet Kofu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.04% ( 0.4) | 29.96% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.93% ( 0.48) | 66.07% ( -0.48) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.68% ( -0.11) | 14.32% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.85% ( -0.21) | 42.14% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ventforet Kofu | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.04% Total : 23.43% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.99% | 1-2 @ 9.77% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 6.33% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 5.25% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.08% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.55% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.85% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.3% Total : 54.56% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 39 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 39 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 36 | 15 | 21 | 38 |
| 4 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 34 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 33 |
| 6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 29 |
| 7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 28 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 27 |
| 9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
| 11 | Fulham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 21 |
| 12 | Brentford | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 19 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 19 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
| 16 | Everton | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 16 |
| 17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 14 |
| 18 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 9 |
| 19 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 44 | -31 | 9 |
| 20 | Burnley | 17 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 16 | 36 | -20 | 8 |
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