Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sepahan win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Pakhtakor Tashkent had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sepahan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sepahan in this match.
