SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Duhail win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Istiqlol Dushanbe had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Duhail win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Istiqlol Dushanbe win was 1-0 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Istiqlol Dushanbe | Draw | Al-Duhail |
33.57% ( 0.94) | 25.01% ( 0.23) | 41.41% ( -1.18) |
| Both teams to score 57.17% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.81% ( -0.8) | 46.19% ( 0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.51% ( -0.76) | 68.48% ( 0.76) |
| Istiqlol Dushanbe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.52% ( 0.18) | 26.48% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.34% ( 0.25) | 61.66% ( -0.25) |
| Al-Duhail Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.75% ( -0.9) | 22.24% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.32% ( -1.37) | 55.68% ( 1.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istiqlol Dushanbe | Draw | Al-Duhail |
| 1-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.21% Total : 33.57% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.84% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.34% Total : 41.42% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
| 2 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 24 |
| 4 | Arsenal | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 22 |
| 6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 20 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 18 |
| 9 | Brentford | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 16 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 15 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Fulham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 12 |
| 16 | Everton | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Luton TownLuton | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 6 |
| 18 | Bournemouth | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 27 | -18 | 6 |
| 19 | Burnley | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 27 | -19 | 4 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 30 | -21 | 4 |
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