SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Buriram United had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Buriram United win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zhejiang Professional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Buriram United |
42.62% ( -0.13) | 24.8% ( -0) | 32.59% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 57.57% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.48% ( 0.05) | 45.52% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.15% ( 0.04) | 67.85% ( -0.05) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.61% ( -0.04) | 21.4% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.62% ( -0.06) | 54.39% ( 0.06) |
| Buriram United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.24% ( 0.1) | 26.76% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.97% ( 0.13) | 62.04% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Buriram United |
| 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 42.62% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.79% | 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 32.59% |
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