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AFC Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 10, 2025 at 6pm UK
King Saud University Stadium

Al-Nassr
3 - 0
Esteghlal

Duran (9', 84'), Ronaldo (27' pen.)
Al-Najdi (68')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ahmadi (17'), Kojo (62')
Ahmadi (45+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Esteghlal 0-0 Al-Nassr
Monday, March 3 at 4pm in AFC Champions League

We said: Al-Nassr 3-1 Esteghlal

Having held their more illustrious opponents to a goalless draw last time out, Esteghlal will back themselves to earn a similar result here. However, we are backing Ronaldo and co to showcase their attacking superiority to come through with a convincing win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 75.78%. A draw has a probability of 15.9% and a win for Esteghlal has a probability of 8.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win is 2-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (11.64%) and 3-0 (10.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.53%), while for a Esteghlal win it is 0-1 (3.18%).

Result
Al-NassrDrawEsteghlal
75.78% (-2.751 -2.75) 15.86% (1.356 1.36) 8.36% (1.393 1.39)
Both teams to score 43.13% (2.134 2.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.93% (-1.121 -1.12)42.07% (1.118 1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.52% (-1.135 -1.14)64.48% (1.132 1.13)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.6% (-0.92 -0.92)9.4% (0.918 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.38% (-2.221 -2.22)31.62% (2.217 2.22)
Esteghlal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.6% (2.808 2.81)52.4% (-2.811 -2.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.74% (1.74 1.74)86.26% (-1.743 -1.74)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 75.77%
    Esteghlal 8.36%
    Draw 15.86%
Al-NassrDrawEsteghlal
2-0 @ 13.76% (-0.49 -0.49)
1-0 @ 11.64% (0.09 0.09)
3-0 @ 10.85% (-0.87 -0.87)
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.432 0.43)
3-1 @ 7.01% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 6.42% (-0.816 -0.82)
4-1 @ 4.15% (-0.149 -0.15)
5-0 @ 3.04% (-0.534 -0.53)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.198 0.2)
5-1 @ 1.96% (-0.159 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.064 0.06)
6-0 @ 1.2% (-0.272 -0.27)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 75.77%
1-1 @ 7.53% (0.663 0.66)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.243 0.24)
2-2 @ 2.88% (0.361 0.36)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 15.86%
0-1 @ 3.18% (0.401 0.4)
1-2 @ 2.43% (0.394 0.39)
0-2 @ 1.03% (0.202 0.2)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 8.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Al-Nassr 2-2 Al Shabab
Friday, March 7 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Esteghlal 0-0 Al-Nassr
Monday, March 3 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Orubah 2-1 Al-Nassr
Friday, February 28 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Wahda 0-2 Al-Nassr
Tuesday, February 25 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 2-3 Al Ettifaq
Friday, February 21 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 2-3 Al-Nassr
Thursday, February 13 at 5.30pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Esteghlal 0-0 Al-Nassr
Monday, March 3 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Esteghlal 0-1 Al-Nassr
Tuesday, October 22 at 5pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Esteghlal 0-2 Al-Hilal
Monday, September 13 at 6pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Esteghlal 1-0 Al-Shorta
Friday, April 30 at 6.45pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 0-0 Esteghlal
Tuesday, April 27 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Esteghlal 2-2 Al-Duhail
Saturday, April 24 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League


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