SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ain win with a probability of 70.93%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Ahal had a probability of 11.89%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for an Ahal win it was 1-2 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Ain | Draw | Ahal |
70.93% ( 5.59) | 17.18% ( -2.55) | 11.89% ( -3.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.45% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.78% ( 4.74) | 37.22% ( -4.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.57% ( 4.94) | 59.43% ( -4.94) |
| Al-Ain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.68% ( 2.74) | 9.32% ( -2.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 68.57% ( 6.12) | 31.43% ( -6.12) |
| Ahal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.84% ( -1.49) | 42.16% ( 1.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.42% ( -1.31) | 78.57% ( 1.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Ain | Draw | Ahal |
| 2-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.32)1-0 @ 9.32% ( -1.04)3-0 @ 8.75% ( 1.01)3-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.6)4-0 @ 5.19% ( 1.1)4-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.8)3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.13)5-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.73)5-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.57)4-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.28)6-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.36)5-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.22)Other @ 3.31% Total : 70.93% | 1-1 @ 8.05% ( -1.28) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.32)0-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.97)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.18% | 1-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.72) 0-1 @ 3.39% ( -1.02)0-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.52)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1% ( -0.26)Other @ 1.37% Total : 11.89% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
| 2 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 24 |
| 4 | Arsenal | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 22 |
| 6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 20 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 18 |
| 9 | Brentford | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 16 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 15 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Fulham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 12 |
| 16 | Everton | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Luton TownLuton | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 6 |
| 18 | Bournemouth | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 27 | -18 | 6 |
| 19 | Burnley | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 27 | -19 | 4 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 30 | -21 | 4 |
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