SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 15.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Perth Glory |
64.76% ( 2.06) | 20.14% ( -0.85) | 15.1% ( -1.21) |
| Both teams to score 51.25% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.58% ( 1.46) | 43.42% ( -1.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.18% ( 1.42) | 65.81% ( -1.42) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.35% ( 1.06) | 12.65% ( -1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.2% ( 2.15) | 38.8% ( -2.15) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.67% ( -0.69) | 41.32% ( 0.69) |
