Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 70.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 11.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 0-1 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
