Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
