SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Inter Turku had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Inter Turku win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Inter Turku |
41.02% ( -0.12) | 25.87% ( -0.04) | 33.11% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 54.11% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.91% ( 0.21) | 50.09% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.94% ( 0.19) | 72.06% ( -0.18) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.84% ( 0.03) | 24.16% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.53% ( 0.05) | 58.47% ( -0.04) |
| Inter Turku Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.34% ( 0.21) | 28.66% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.53% ( 0.26) | 64.47% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Inter Turku |
| 1-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.13% 3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.88% Total : 41.02% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.65% Total : 33.11% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| Championship Round | |||||||||
| 1 | HJK Helsinki | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 53 |
| 2 | KuPSKuPS | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 41 | 20 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Vaasan PalloseuraVPS | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 49 |
| 4 | SJKSJK | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 42 |
| 5 | HonkaHonka | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 41 |
| 6 | Inter Turku | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
| Relegation Round | |||||||||
| 1 | Oulu | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 38 |
| 2 | IlvesIlves | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 33 |
| 3 | HakaHaka | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 32 |
| 4 | LahtiLahti | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 29 |
| 5 | IFK MariehamnMariehamn | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 22 |
| 6 | KTP | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 44 | -23 | 20 |
| Regular Season | |||||||||
| 1 | HJK Helsinki | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 44 |
| 2 | KuPSKuPS | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 43 |
| 3 | SJKSJK | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 38 |
| 4 | Vaasan PalloseuraVPS | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 36 |
| 5 | HonkaHonka | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 35 |
| 6 | Inter Turku | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 34 |
| 7 | Oulu | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 31 |
| 8 | HakaHaka | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 24 |
| 9 | LahtiLahti | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 22 |
| 10 | IlvesIlves | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 20 |
| 11 | KTP | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
| 12 | IFK MariehamnMariehamn | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 15 |
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