SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 47.44%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-0 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ilves in this match.
| Result | ||
| Oulu | Draw | Ilves |
27.79% ( -0.07) | 24.77% ( 0) | 47.44% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.96% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.27% ( -0.07) | 47.73% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.08% ( -0.06) | 69.92% ( 0.06) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.85% ( -0.09) | 31.15% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.52% ( -0.11) | 67.48% ( 0.11) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.83% ( 0) | 20.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.53% ( 0) | 52.47% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oulu | Draw | Ilves |
| 1-0 @ 7.33% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.89% Total : 27.79% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.77% | 0-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.01% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.01% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 47.43% |
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