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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lahti | Draw | Oulu |
40.57% ( 0.05) | 24.11% ( -0) | 35.31% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 60.79% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.35% ( 0.01) | 41.64% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.95% ( 0.01) | 64.04% ( -0.02) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.3% ( 0.03) | 20.7% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.7% ( 0.05) | 53.3% ( -0.05) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.66% ( -0.02) | 23.34% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.7% ( -0.03) | 57.29% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lahti | Draw | Oulu |
| 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.61% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 40.57% | 1-1 @ 11.07% 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.83% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.11% | 1-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 35.31% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | SJKSJK | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 19 |
| 3 | KuPSKuPS | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 19 |
| 4 | Oulu | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 14 |
| 5 | HonkaHonka | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | IlvesIlves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | HakaHaka | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 9 |
| 8 | KTP | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 9 |
| 9 | Inter Turku | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | IFK MariehamnMariehamn | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
| 11 | LahtiLahti | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 | Vaasan PalloseuraVPS | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 6 |
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