Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 51.74%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Lahti had a probability of 22.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Lahti win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
