SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 60.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 17.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.85%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 1-0 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
17.38% ( -0.3) | 21.76% ( -0.1) | 60.86% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 50.99% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.66% ( -0.09) | 46.34% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.37% ( -0.08) | 68.63% ( 0.08) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.81% ( -0.41) | 40.19% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.17% ( -0.37) | 76.82% ( 0.37) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.25% ( 0.09) | 14.75% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.01% ( 0.18) | 42.98% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 1-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)Other @ 2% Total : 17.38% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.98% Total : 21.76% | 0-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 10.85% ( 0.11)1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.93% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 6.31% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 3.31% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 3.02% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.27% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 60.85% |
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