SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gnistan win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Ekenas IF had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Ekenas IF win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gnistan | Draw | Ekenas IF |
38.1% ( -1.09) | 25.28% ( 0.21) | 36.62% ( 0.88) |
| Both teams to score 56.75% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.05% ( -0.91) | 46.94% ( 0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.81% ( -0.85) | 69.19% ( 0.85) |
| Gnistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.74% ( -0.97) | 24.26% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.38% ( -1.4) | 58.62% ( 1.4) |
| Ekenas IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.93% ( 0.07) | 25.06% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.25% ( 0.1) | 59.75% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gnistan | Draw | Ekenas IF |
| 1-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.1% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.79% Total : 36.62% |
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