SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Hansa Rostock had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Hansa Rostock win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nuremberg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nuremberg | Draw | Hansa Rostock |
39.25% ( -0.26) | 25.34% ( -0.1) | 35.41% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 56.41% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.66% ( 0.47) | 47.34% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.43% ( 0.43) | 69.57% ( -0.44) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.16% ( 0.08) | 23.84% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.98% ( 0.11) | 58.02% ( -0.11) |
| Hansa Rostock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.06% ( 0.43) | 25.94% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.06% ( 0.57) | 60.94% ( -0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nuremberg | Draw | Hansa Rostock |
| 1-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 39.25% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.37% Total : 35.41% |
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