SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.36%) and 2-0 (5.32%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Elversberg |
40.06% ( -2.49) | 23.13% ( 0.12) | 36.81% ( 2.36) |
| Both teams to score 64.77% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.43% ( -0.16) | 36.56% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.28% ( -0.17) | 58.72% ( 0.16) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.23% ( -1.12) | 18.77% ( 1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.83% ( -1.9) | 50.17% ( 1.9) |
| Elversberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.73% ( 1.12) | 20.27% ( -1.12) |
