Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hansa Rostock win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 36.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hansa Rostock win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hansa Rostock would win this match.
