SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Schalke 04 |
47.64% ( 1.79) | 23.27% ( -0.02) | 29.09% ( -1.78) |
| Both teams to score 61.09% ( -1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.91% ( -0.94) | 40.08% ( 0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.55% ( -0.98) | 62.45% ( 0.98) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.9% ( 0.33) | 17.1% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.7% ( 0.57) | 47.29% ( -0.57) |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.69% ( -1.6) | 26.31% ( 1.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.56% ( -2.19) | 61.44% ( 2.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Schalke 04 |
| 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.42)2-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.44)3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.3)3-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.09% Total : 47.64% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.17)0-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.27)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.15)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.29% Total : 29.09% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | St Pauli | 15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 31 |
| 2 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 29 |
| 3 | Hamburger SV | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
| 4 | Fortuna DusseldorfDusseldorf | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 27 |
| 5 | Greuther Furth | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 27 |
| 6 | Elversberg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | Hannover | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 23 |
| 8 | Wehen WiesbadenWiesbaden | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 21 |
| 9 | Nuremberg | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 21 |
| 10 | Magdeburg | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Hertha Berlin | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 18 |
| 12 | SC PaderbornSC Paderborn | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 18 |
| 13 | KaiserslauternKaiserslautern | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 18 |
| 14 | Karlsruher SCKarlsruher | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Schalke 04Schalke | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Hansa RostockHansa Rostock | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 16 |
| 17 | Eintracht BraunschweigBraunschweig | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 8 |
| 18 | VfL OsnabruckOsnabruck | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 7 |
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