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Thursday, March 21
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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Sep 4, 2021 at 5pm UK
Arena Petrol
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Slovenia
1 - 0
Malta

Lovric (44' pen.)
Kurtic (12')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pepe (43'), Satariano (45'), Montebello (77'), Muscat (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 61.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Malta had a probability of 13.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.14%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.21%), while for a Malta win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Slovenia in this match.

Result
SloveniaDrawMalta
61.47%24.72%13.8%
Both teams to score 35.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.41%62.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.83%82.17%
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57%20.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.13%52.87%
Malta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.1%54.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.17%87.82%
Score Analysis
    Slovenia 61.46%
    Malta 13.8%
    Draw 24.72%
SloveniaDrawMalta
1-0 @ 17.81%
2-0 @ 14.14%
2-1 @ 8.48%
3-0 @ 7.49%
3-1 @ 4.49%
4-0 @ 2.97%
4-1 @ 1.78%
3-2 @ 1.35%
5-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2%
Total : 61.46%
0-0 @ 11.21%
1-1 @ 10.68%
2-2 @ 2.54%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 6.72%
1-2 @ 3.2%
0-2 @ 2.02%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 13.8%

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