Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 58.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Peru had a probability of 19.31%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Peru win it was 1-0 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.
