SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guinea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gambia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 53.52%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Uganda had a probability of 15.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 21.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.07%) and 2-1 (6.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.86%), while for a Uganda win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Guinea in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Guinea.
| Result | ||
| Guinea | Draw | Uganda |
53.52% ( -0.6) | 30.78% ( -0.05) | 15.7% ( 0.66) |
| Both teams to score 28.14% ( 0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 24.87% ( 0.6) | 75.13% ( -0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 9.65% ( 0.34) | 90.34% ( -0.34) |
| Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.18% ( 0.03) | 29.82% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.1% ( 0.04) | 65.9% ( -0.04) |
| Uganda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 40.09% ( 1.32) | 59.9% ( -1.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.4% ( 0.66) | 90.6% ( -0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guinea | Draw | Uganda |
| 1-0 @ 21.61% ( -0.48) 2-0 @ 13.07% ( -0.28)2-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.55% Total : 53.51% | 0-0 @ 17.86% ( -0.41) 1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.12% Total : 30.77% | 0-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.15)Other @ 1.36% Total : 15.7% |
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