Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Gibraltar had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Gibraltar win was 1-0 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montenegro would win this match.
