SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Costa Rica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Spain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Costa Rica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Spain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Japan had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Japan win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Germany | Draw | Japan |
53.21% ( -0.32) | 24.19% ( 0.18) | 22.59% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.66% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.37% ( -0.57) | 49.62% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.35% ( -0.52) | 71.64% ( 0.52) |
| Germany Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.41% ( -0.34) | 18.59% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.14% ( -0.57) | 49.86% ( 0.57) |
| Japan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.46% ( -0.18) | 36.54% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.67% ( -0.19) | 73.33% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Germany | Draw | Japan |
| 1-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.23% Total : 53.21% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 22.59% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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