Canada 2-0 USA - World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Third Round - Football

Tuesday, June 14

Jan 30, 2022 at 8.05pm UK at BMO Field

Canada

2 - 0

USA

Larin (7'), Adekugbe (90+5')
Vitoria (31'), Buchanan (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Canada and USA, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 58.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for USA had a probability of 16.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.41%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a USA win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.

Result
Canada	Draw	USA
58.71%	24.5%	16.79%

Both teams to score 42.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.28%

57.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.53%

78.47%

Canada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.43%

19.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.51%

51.5%

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.31%

47.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17%

83.01%

Score Analysis

Canada 58.7%

USA 16.79%

Draw 24.5%

Canada	Draw	USA
1-0 @ 15.22% 2-0 @ 12.41% 2-1 @ 9.19% 3-0 @ 6.75% 3-1 @ 5% 4-0 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 2.04% 3-2 @ 1.85% Other @ 3.48% Total : 58.7%	1-1 @ 11.27% 0-0 @ 9.34% 2-2 @ 3.4% Other @ 0.49% Total : 24.5%	0-1 @ 6.91% 1-2 @ 4.17% 0-2 @ 2.56% 1-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.12% Total : 16.79%

Head to Head

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Premier League Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Manchester City Man City	38	29	6	3	99	26	73	93
2	Liverpool	38	28	8	2	94	26	68	92
3	Chelsea	38	21	11	6	76	33	43	74
4	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	22	5	11	69	40	29	71
5	Arsenal	38	22	3	13	61	48	13	69
6	Manchester United Man Utd	38	16	10	12	57	57	0	58
7	West Ham United West Ham	38	16	8	14	60	51	9	56
8	Leicester City Leicester	38	14	10	14	62	59	3	52
9	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	12	15	11	42	44	-2	51
10	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	15	6	17	38	43	-5	51
11	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	13	10	15	44	62	-18	49
12	Crystal Palace	38	11	15	12	50	46	4	48
13	Brentford	38	13	7	18	48	56	-8	46
14	Aston Villa	38	13	6	19	52	54	-2	45
15	Southampton	38	9	13	16	43	67	-24	40
16	Everton	38	11	6	21	43	66	-23	39
17	Leeds United Leeds	38	9	11	18	42	79	-37	38
R	Burnley	38	7	14	17	34	53	-19	35
R	Watford	38	6	5	27	34	77	-43	23
R	Norwich City Norwich	38	5	7	26	23	84	-61	22