SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 56%. A win for Reading Women had a probability of 23.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.23%) and 0-1 (6.8%). The likeliest Reading Women win was 2-1 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
23.26% ( 0.07) | 20.74% ( 0.03) | 56% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 64.46% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.85% ( -0.07) | 33.14% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.11% ( -0.08) | 54.89% ( 0.08) |
| Reading Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.18% ( 0.02) | 26.81% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.89% ( 0.02) | 62.1% ( -0.03) |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.08% ( -0.06) | 11.92% ( 0.05) |
