SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Juventus Women had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Juventus Women win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Juventus Women |
42.84% ( -0.01) | 24.3% ( 0) | 32.86% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.42% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.86% ( 0) | 43.14% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.46% ( 0) | 65.54% ( -0) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.7% ( -0) | 20.3% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.34% ( -0) | 52.66% ( 0) |
| Juventus Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.56% ( 0) | 25.44% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.73% ( 0.01) | 60.27% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Juventus Women |
| 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.57% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.27% 4-1 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.91% Total : 42.84% | 1-1 @ 11.27% 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.3% | 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.07% 0-2 @ 4.84% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.2% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.55% Total : 32.86% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 84 | 30 | 54 | 76 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 33 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 75 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 61 | 27 | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 63 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 65 | 42 | 23 | 56 |
| 6 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 63 | 57 | 6 | 54 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 52 |
| 9 | Brentford | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 50 |
| 10 | Fulham | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 45 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 39 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 39 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 37 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 34 |
| 16 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 43 | 67 | -24 | 30 |
| 17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 30 |
| 18 | Leicester CityLeicester | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 44 | 57 | -13 | 29 |
| 19 | Everton | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 28 |
| 20 | Southampton | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 24 |
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