Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium
Pen-y-Bont
3 - 2
Haverfordwest
Kavanagh (15'), Reffell (49'),
Reynolds (72')
Borge (16')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fawcett (18'), Humphreys (88')
Jenkins (38')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Haverfordwest County.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.
| Result |
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
42.33% ( -0.01) | 24.95% ( -0) | 32.72% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.1% ( 0) |
| 53.84% ( 0) | 46.16% ( -0) |
| 31.54% ( 0.01) | 68.46% ( -0.01) |
| 78.2% ( -0) | 21.8% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.99% ( -0) | 55.01% ( 0) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| 73.02% ( 0.01) | 26.99% ( -0.01) |
