Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 73.93%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 9.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 3-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
