SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 67.09%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 14.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for an Airbus UK Broughton win it was 2-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Cardiff MU in this match.
| Result | ||
| Airbus UK Broughton | Draw | Cardiff MU |
14.42% ( 1.3) | 18.49% ( 0.47) | 67.09% ( -1.77) |
| Both teams to score 55.33% ( 2.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.78% ( 0.84) | 37.22% ( -0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.58% ( 0.9) | 59.42% ( -0.9) |
| Airbus UK Broughton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.63% ( 2.4) | 38.37% ( -2.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.88% ( 2.23) | 75.12% ( -2.23) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.77% ( -0.2) | 10.24% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 66.44% ( -0.47) | 33.57% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airbus UK Broughton | Draw | Cardiff MU |
| 2-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.32) 1-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.18)Other @ 1.94% Total : 14.42% | 1-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.33)0-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.49% | 0-2 @ 10.2% ( -0.61) 1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.07)0-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.45)0-3 @ 7.75% ( -0.54)1-3 @ 7.43% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 4.42% ( -0.35)1-4 @ 4.23% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.22)2-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.11)0-5 @ 2.01% ( -0.18)1-5 @ 1.93% ( -0.04)2-5 @ 0.92% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.9% Total : 67.09% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 22 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 83 | 8 | 75 | 60 |
| 2 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 44 |
| 3 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 41 |
| 4 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 22 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 41 |
| 5 | Bala TownBala Town | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 40 |
| 6 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 33 |
| 7 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 27 |
| 8 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 22 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 25 |
| 9 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 24 |
| 10 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 23 | 58 | -35 | 22 |
| 11 | Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 20 |
| 12 | Airbus UK BroughtonAirbus UK | 22 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | 66 | -53 | -2 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
