Aberystwyth Town 2-4 Newtown AFC - Welsh Premier League - December 10, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Friday, December 30

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Dec 10, 2021 at 8pm UK at Park Avenue

Aberystwyth

2 - 4

Newtown

Phillips (51'), Davies (89')
Veale (22'), Jenkins (38')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Rushton (4', 18', 68'), Davies (76')
(77')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Newtown AFC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 51.99%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth Town	Draw	Newtown AFC
24.91%	23.09%	51.99%

Both teams to score 57.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.42%

42.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.02%

64.98%

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.34%

30.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.09%

66.91%

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.57%

16.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.9%

46.1%

Score Analysis

Aberystwyth Town 24.91%

Newtown AFC 51.99%

Draw 23.09%

Aberystwyth Town	Draw	Newtown AFC
2-1 @ 6.36% 1-0 @ 5.95% 2-0 @ 3.52% 3-1 @ 2.51% 3-2 @ 2.26% 3-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.93% Total : 24.91%	1-1 @ 10.75% 2-2 @ 5.74% 0-0 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.09%	1-2 @ 9.71% 0-1 @ 9.1% 0-2 @ 8.22% 1-3 @ 5.85% 0-3 @ 4.95% 2-3 @ 3.46% 1-4 @ 2.64% 0-4 @ 2.23% 2-4 @ 1.56% 1-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.33% Total : 51.99%