Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 21.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.03%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a River Plate win it was 1-0 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
