Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 51.4%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 22.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Cerrito win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Cerrito |
51.4% ( 0.03) | 25.68% ( 0.01) | 22.92% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 47.68% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.92% ( -0.05) | 55.07% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.67% ( -0.04) | 76.33% ( 0.04) |
Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.53% ( -0.01) | 21.47% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.5% ( -0.01) | 54.5% ( 0.01) |
Cerrito Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.72% ( -0.06) | 39.28% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.01% ( -0.05) | 75.99% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Cerrito |
1-0 @ 12.97% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 51.39% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 7.88% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 1.43% Total : 22.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PenarolPenarol | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 10 |
2 | Montevideo WanderersWanderers | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 |
3 | Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 |
4 | Cerro Largo | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 |
5 | River PlateRiver Plate | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
6 | NacionalNacional | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
7 | DanubioDanubio | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
8 | LiverpoolLiverpool | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 |
9 | Montevideo City TorqueTorque | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Defensor SportingDefensor | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
11 | CerroCerro | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
12 | FenixFenix | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 |
13 | Boston RiverBoston River | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
14 | Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 3 |
15 | Racing de MontevideoRacing | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 2 |
16 | La Luz | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 1 |
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