Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-0 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
