Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
