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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 28, 2023 at 2pm UK
Slavutych-Arena
Luhansk
0 - 1
Polissya

Snurnitsyn (55'), Aziangbe (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Makouana (16')
Kravchenko (84'), Snurnitsyn (85')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Zorya Luhansk and Polissya Zhytomyr.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Obolon 2-4 Luhansk
Friday, October 20 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Vorskla 0-3 Polissya
Sunday, October 22 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Polissya Zhytomyr win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 26.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Polissya Zhytomyr win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Polissya Zhytomyr in this match.

Result
Zorya LuhanskDrawPolissya Zhytomyr
26.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 25.38% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 48.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 51.7% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)51.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)73.2% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)34.37% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.92% (0.010000000000002 0.01)71.07% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Polissya Zhytomyr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.78% (0.0019999999999953 0)21.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.88% (0.0020000000000024 0)54.11% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Zorya Luhansk 26.15%
    Polissya Zhytomyr 48.45%
    Draw 25.38%
Zorya LuhanskDrawPolissya Zhytomyr
1-0 @ 7.79%
2-1 @ 6.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.16% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.48% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 26.15%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5%
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 11.3%
1-2 @ 9.36%
0-2 @ 8.76% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 4.84%
0-3 @ 4.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.58%
1-4 @ 1.88%
0-4 @ 1.76% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 48.45%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Obolon 2-4 Luhansk
Friday, October 20 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Breidablik 0-1 Luhansk
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Chornomorets 0-0 Luhansk
Saturday, September 30 at 5pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Luhansk 0-1 Dnipro-1
Sunday, September 24 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Luhansk 1-1 Gent
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Metalist Kharkiv 2-1 Luhansk
Friday, September 15 at 4.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Vorskla 0-3 Polissya
Sunday, October 22 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Polissya 3-2 Dynamo Kiev
Friday, October 6 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Kovalivka 0-0 Polissya
Sunday, October 1 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Polissya 2-1 Minai
Saturday, September 23 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Chornomorets 1-0 Polissya
Saturday, September 16 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Polissya 2-0 Obolon
Saturday, September 2 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi17104331171434
2Dnipro-1Dnipro-117104326161034
3Polissya ZhytomyrPolissya1795324121232
4Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar1594226131331
5Dynamo Kiev1381431181325
6Rukh Lviv166732418625
7Vorskla PoltavaVorskla166461724-722
8Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka15492119221
9LNZ CherkasyCherkasy165561718-120
10Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets156182424019
11Metalist Kharkiv164391725-815
12Obolon KyivObolon153571020-1014
13FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya15348920-1113
14Zorya LuhanskLuhansk142661519-412
15Veres162681526-1112
16Minai15069624-186
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