Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Veres win with a probability of 42%. A win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Veres win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Metalist Kharkiv win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Veres in this match.
Result | ||
Veres | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
42% ( 0.46) | 26.38% ( -0.07) | 31.62% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 51.96% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.36% ( 0.15) | 52.63% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.72% ( 0.13) | 74.28% ( -0.14) |
Veres Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.21% ( 0.31) | 24.79% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.63% ( 0.42) | 59.37% ( -0.42) |
Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.08% ( -0.19) | 30.91% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.79% ( -0.22) | 67.21% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Veres | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
1-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.55% Total : 41.99% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.38% | 0-1 @ 9% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 72 |
2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 60 | 27 | 33 | 64 |
3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 61 | 31 | 30 | 64 |
4 | Dynamo Kiev | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 50 | 24 | 26 | 59 |
5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 43 |
6 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 42 |
7 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 41 |
8 | Minai | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 33 |
9 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 33 |
10 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 32 |
11 | Rukh Lviv | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 31 |
12 | Inhulets | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 31 |
13 | Metalist Kharkiv | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 31 |
14 | Veres | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 28 |
15 | Metal Kharkiv | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 22 |
16 | FC LvivLviv | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 51 | -33 | 13 |
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