SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metal Kharkiv win with a probability of 48.57%. A win for FC Lviv had a probability of 27.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metal Kharkiv win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest FC Lviv win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metal Kharkiv would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metal Kharkiv | Draw | FC Lviv |
48.57% ( -0.7) | 23.71% ( 0.22) | 27.72% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 58.5% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.95% ( -0.67) | 43.05% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.55% ( -0.66) | 65.45% ( 0.67) |
| Metal Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.12% ( -0.52) | 17.88% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.35% ( -0.91) | 48.66% ( 0.91) |
| FC Lviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.23% ( 0) | 28.77% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.39% ( 0) | 64.61% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metal Kharkiv | Draw | FC Lviv |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.69% Total : 48.57% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.7% | 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.49% Total : 27.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 72 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 60 | 27 | 33 | 64 |
| 3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 61 | 31 | 30 | 64 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 50 | 24 | 26 | 59 |
| 5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 43 |
| 6 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 41 |
| 8 | Minai | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 33 |
| 9 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 33 |
| 10 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 32 |
| 11 | Rukh Lviv | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 31 |
| 12 | Inhulets | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 31 |
| 13 | Metalist Kharkiv | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 31 |
| 14 | Veres | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 28 |
| 15 | Metal Kharkiv | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 22 |
| 16 | FC LvivLviv | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 51 | -33 | 13 |
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