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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 4
Sep 26, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
KSK Nika
Oleksandriya
4 - 1
Dnipro-1
Bezborodko (3'), Tretyakov (37'), Svatok (60' og.), Luchkevych (68')
Sitalo (26'), Banada (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Adamyuk (78')
Dubinchak (19'), Adamyuk (25'), Tsurikov (56'), Svatok (63')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between FC Oleksandriya and Dnipro-1.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Oleksandriya would win this match.

Result
FC OleksandriyaDrawDnipro-1
41.91%25.05%33.04%
Both teams to score 56.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.5%46.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.22%68.78%
FC Oleksandriya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.86%22.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.47%55.53%
Dnipro-1 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05%26.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.71%62.29%
Score Analysis
    FC Oleksandriya 41.91%
    Dnipro-1 33.04%
    Draw 25.04%
FC OleksandriyaDrawDnipro-1
1-0 @ 9%
2-1 @ 8.89%
2-0 @ 6.78%
3-1 @ 4.47%
3-0 @ 3.41%
3-2 @ 2.93%
4-1 @ 1.68%
4-0 @ 1.29%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 41.91%
1-1 @ 11.79%
0-0 @ 5.97%
2-2 @ 5.83%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 7.83%
1-2 @ 7.73%
0-2 @ 5.13%
1-3 @ 3.38%
2-3 @ 2.55%
0-3 @ 2.24%
1-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 33.04%

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Ukrainian Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar25186158184060
2Dnipro-1Dnipro-125184356213558
3Zorya LuhanskLuhansk25174452282455
4Dynamo Kiev25155537201750
5FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya2591243730739
6Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka2596102127-633
7Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi2595112128-732
8Vorskla PoltavaVorskla2586112935-630
9Inhulets2576122029-927
10Metalist Kharkiv2551282038-1827
11Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets2568112734-726
12Minai2568111928-926
13Veres2566133038-824
14Rukh Lviv2559112635-924
15Metal Kharkiv2557132644-1822
16FC LvivLviv2534181844-2613
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