MX23RW : Thursday, June 29 11:23:05
SM
Beijing Guoan vs. Shanghai Port: 11 mins
European Under-21 Championship | Group Stage
Jun 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
 
CN
Spain U21s
1 - 0
Croatia U21s
Ruiz (1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Frigan (13'), Sego (34'), Stojkovic (60')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Romania U21s 0-3 Spain U21s
Wednesday, June 21 at 7.45pm in European Under-21 Championship
All competitions
Last Game: Ukraine U21s 2-0 Croatia U21s
Wednesday, June 21 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship

We said: Spain Under-21s 3-0 Croatia Under-21s

Regardless of whether Spain decide to rotate for this contest, this represents a stiff challenge for their opponents. Although Croatia may pose more of a challenge than Romania, we still expect Spain to storm to a dominant victory and book their spot in the last eight in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia Under-21s win with a probability of 52.38%. A win for Spain Under-21s had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.45%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Spain Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Spain Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Spain Under-21sDrawCroatia Under-21s
27.32% (0.061 0.06) 20.3% (-0.171 -0.17) 52.38% (0.102 0.1)
Both teams to score 70.83% (0.72699999999999 0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.19% (0.904 0.9)26.8% (-0.912 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.75% (1.141 1.14)47.24% (-1.149 -1.15)
Spain Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.42% (0.518 0.52)20.58% (-0.526 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.88% (0.819 0.82)53.11% (-0.828 -0.83)
Croatia Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.18% (0.32900000000001 0.33)10.81% (-0.337 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.13% (0.739 0.74)34.86% (-0.746 -0.75)
Score Analysis
    Spain Under-21s 27.32%
    Croatia Under-21s 52.38%
    Draw 20.3%
Spain Under-21sDrawCroatia Under-21s
2-1 @ 6.19% (-0.061000000000001 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.63% (0.072 0.07)
1-0 @ 3.52% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-1 @ 3.26% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.78% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.028 0.03)
4-3 @ 1.06% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 27.32%
1-1 @ 7.83% (-0.206 -0.21)
2-2 @ 6.88% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 2.69% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 2.23% (-0.128 -0.13)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 20.3%
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 6.45% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.51% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-3 @ 5.1% (0.091 0.09)
0-1 @ 4.95% (-0.212 -0.21)
0-3 @ 4.08% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-4 @ 3.59% (0.056 0.06)
2-4 @ 2.84% (0.089 0.09)
0-4 @ 2.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1.6% (0.047 0.05)
3-4 @ 1.5% (0.07 0.07)
2-5 @ 1.26% (0.056 0.06)
0-5 @ 1.01% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 52.38%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Romania U21s 0-3 Spain U21s
Wednesday, June 21 at 7.45pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Spain U21s 0-1 Portugal U21s
Thursday, June 3 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Spain U21s 2-1 Croatia U21s
Monday, May 31 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Spain U21s 2-0 Czech Rep. U21s
Tuesday, March 30 at 8pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Spain U21s 0-0 Italy U21s
Saturday, March 27 at 8pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Slovenia U21s 0-3 Spain U21s
Wednesday, March 24 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Ukraine U21s 2-0 Croatia U21s
Wednesday, June 21 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Spain U21s 2-1 Croatia U21s
Monday, May 31 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Croatia U21s 1-2 England U21s
Wednesday, March 31 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Croatia U21s 3-2 Switzerland U21s
Sunday, March 28 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Portugal U21s 1-0 Croatia U21s
Thursday, March 25 at 8pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Croatia U21s 7-0 Lithuania U21s
Tuesday, November 17 at 4pm in European Under-21 Championship
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