Under-20 World Cup | Round of 16
May 31, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio San Juan del Bicentenario
Colombia U20s
5 - 1
Slovakia U20s
Cortes (48', 90+4'), Asprilla (50'), Angel (52', 63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jambor (87')
Snajder (19'), Jambor (83')
We said: Colombia Under-20s 2-1 Slovakia Under-20s
Colombia have not exactly been a force to be reckoned with in the defensive third, but the Tricolor responded admirably to going behind in their three group games and can trouble an equally permeable Slovakia backline.
Slovakia can count themselves fortunate to even be in the last 16, and their run will likely come to an end against the unbeaten Colombians, but Cardenas's men will not be many people's picks to get the better of England or Italy in the last eight.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia Under-20s win with a probability of 57.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Colombia Under-20s had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia Under-20s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Colombia Under-20s win it was 2-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Colombia Under-20s would win this match.
| Result |
| Colombia Under-20s | Draw | Slovakia Under-20s |
20.6% ( -1.84) | 22.09% ( -0.61) | 57.31% ( 2.46) |
| Both teams to score 55.64% ( -0.63) |
| 57.02% ( 0.44) | 42.98% ( -0.44) |
| 34.62% ( 0.43) | 65.38% ( -0.43) |
| 65.27% ( -1.49) | 34.73% ( 1.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.54% ( -1.61) | 71.46% ( 1.61) |
| 85.23% ( 0.97) | 14.77% ( -0.97) |
