Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.61%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
