SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 46.47%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Luzern win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luzern | Draw | Young Boys |
29.9% ( 0.75) | 23.62% ( 0.3) | 46.47% ( -1.05) |
| Both teams to score 60.37% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.73% ( -0.98) | 41.27% ( 0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.33% ( -1) | 63.66% ( 1.01) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.62% ( 0) | 26.37% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.47% | 61.52% ( 0) |
| Young Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.99% ( -0.79) | 18% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.12% ( -1.37) | 48.87% ( 1.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luzern | Draw | Young Boys |
| 2-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.28)2-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 29.9% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.62% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 5.32% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.7% Total : 46.47% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC Zurich | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 23 |
| 2 | Young Boys | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 21 |
| 3 | St GallenSt Gallen | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Servette | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 16 |
| 5 | LuganoLugano | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Luzern | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Yverdon Sport | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 | FC WinterthurWinterthur | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 12 |
| 9 | Lausanne SportLausanne | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 9 |
| 10 | Stade Lausanne-OuchySLO | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
| 11 | Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Basel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 5 |
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