SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 37.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.59%) and 2-0 (5.35%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luzern | Draw | FC Zurich |
39.18% ( 0.59) | 23.41% ( -0.18) | 37.41% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 63.74% ( 0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.07% ( 0.88) | 37.93% ( -0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.81% ( 0.93) | 60.18% ( -0.94) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.25% ( 0.66) | 19.75% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.22% ( 1.06) | 51.78% ( -1.06) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.42% ( 0.19) | 20.58% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.88% ( 0.3) | 53.11% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luzern | Draw | FC Zurich |
| 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.22% Total : 39.18% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.97% Total : 37.41% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Young Boys | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | FC Zurich | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | LuganoLugano | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Luzern | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | St GallenSt Gallen | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | FC WinterthurWinterthur | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Yverdon Sport | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 12 |
| 8 | Servette | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | Basel | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 | Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 5 |
| 11 | Lausanne SportLausanne | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 5 |
| 12 | Stade Lausanne-OuchySLO | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 5 |
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