SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbulspor win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbulspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Istanbulspor | Draw | Alanyaspor |
37.83% ( 0.41) | 25.16% ( -0.06) | 37.01% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 57.17% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.58% ( 0.29) | 46.42% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.3% ( 0.27) | 68.7% ( -0.26) |
| Istanbulspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.83% ( 0.35) | 24.17% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.51% ( 0.49) | 58.49% ( -0.48) |
| Alanyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.39% ( -0.05) | 24.61% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.89% ( -0.08) | 59.11% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istanbulspor | Draw | Alanyaspor |
| 1-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.95% Total : 37.83% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.87% Total : 37.01% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Fenerbahce | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 57 | 16 | 41 | 53 |
| 2 | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 48 |
| 3 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 37 |
| 4 | BesiktasBesiktas | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 35 |
| 5 | Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 32 |
| 6 | Adana Demirspor | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 29 |
| 7 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 29 |
| 8 | KayserisporKayserispor | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 29 |
| 9 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
| 10 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 26 |
| 11 | SivassporSivasspor | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 24 |
| 13 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 22 |
| 14 | Hatayspor | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 21 |
| 15 | Samsunspor | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 21 |
| 16 | GaziantepGaziantep | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 21 |
| 17 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 20 |
| 18 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
| 19 | Pendikspor | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 43 | -22 | 16 |
| 20 | Istanbulspor | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 7 |
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